popular revolt "? New data. INTERNATIONAL REPORTING Zalakain DIZDIRA ANALYSIS.
Libu
This article provides links to reliable news sources whose reading was concluded that, 2009, Qadhafi introduced a plan that included three main points:
1 - Nationalization of hydrocarbons.
2 - Dismantling the ministerial bureaucracy and direct management of the executive by popular organs.
3 - direct and equitable distribution of oil revenue to citizens.
The top leadership opposed this plan and got the People's Congress vote for a postponement of its implementation. Fortunately
seems inevitable that the weight of the facts and correct reflection are allowing much of that left too thoughtlessly applauded the unexplained North African revolutions and especially Libya. Conspiranoids called those who saw in them new cases of soft coup organized by transnational corporations. As in a previous post I referred to an article by Santiago Alba to illustrate this view, today I refer to another article of his, published eight days later, in which significant changes are seen. I do not to leave evidence. On the contrary, I value the ability to amend or develop the ideas and I hope also that this development does not stop, or he or anyone else.
The first article is the 24th of February, and the second is March 4. It shows how Alba
now accept that conspiracies are neither fantasies nor exceptions, but structurally inevitable operation of international politics. Hopefully some will take more account: Herodotus and Thucydides were clear and fundamental role to explain historical events. Also shows that no longer disqualifies Gaddafi as hard. If on February 24 found that any invasion of NATO, on 4 considered as probable risk that the priority of the left is opposing it. A priority, of course, that places above to overthrow Gaddafi. Needless to say that it does not mention the bombing of protesters in Tripoli. As if any, after all the evidence that has emerged, even what questions you might ask the EU delegates who visited the Libyan capital yesterday.
My appreciation and respect for those who can rectify. Santiago Alba lives up to its status as a philosopher.
However, the idea that Alba continues to maintain and many of us, however, not agree with is that the revolution against Gaddafi's really a revolution
The idea that popular uprisings in Libya have a genuine popular character, ie which have not been caused, organized, maintained by the intelligence services of the rule is an idea that holds no arguments. In his second article, repeated on several occasions that the Libyan people have the right to overthrow Gaddafi. I will not get to discuss to what extent Gaddafi holds the post is legitimate, ie the extent to which emanates from popular sovereignty. Let alone that, at least, is as legitimate, if not more, than our monarch.
But I will try to demonstrate here is how strange it would say that Gaddafi does not enjoy popular support in Libya, according to the data that I offer. Moreover, these data indicate that they are rather certain country's power elites that have reason to want to overthrow him. While
data could be sought in several areas of the Libyan political life, it is clear that the critical area is oil. Although it has been repeated ad nauseam, remember that Libya is the main oil reserves in Africa and it is estimated that has not yet been exploited or one-third of its resources.
The National Oil Company. 1970-1973
The National Oil Company (NOC) is the Libyan-owned company that manages the country's oil wealth. Is directly controlled by the Libyan People's Congress. Gaddafi was created a year after the revolution that overthrew King Idris. In 1970 the oil companies that got rich energy resources freely with the Libyans, Esso, Mobil, Texas Gulf, etc, or to leave or were forced to abide by a Production Sharing Agreements (ARP). PRA is an agreement whereby the state allows a private oil company operating in its territory in exchange for agreeing a production sharing between the state and private enterprise.
The Libyan regime's oil policy from the 70 was to nationalize oil wells progressively through the public company NOC and agree ARPs increasingly beneficial to the state with a plurality of oil from many different countries, rather than with a few, which seems to suggest a clear strategy of "divide and conquer." Needless to say, this infuriated the transnationals. But what really broke the glass of his imperial patience was, however, that in 1973 Libya and other Arab countries enacted against countries that financed Israel's genocidal policy against Palestinians. Of the U.S. embargoed countries was The embargo lasted until March 1974 and the only country which refused to lift it was precisely Libya. 1973-1992
Since then, U.S. pressure grew. Only the support of the USSR delivered to Libya an invasion. In 1982 the U.S. enacted a trade embargo on Libya. In 1984 perpetrate a failed attempt on Gaddafi. In 1986, without fear of Soviet perestroika, bombed Tripoli and Benghazi. 1992-1999
In 1992, after removing the socialist regimes of Eastern Europe, the UN, and without opposition-controlled U.S. and its allies, decreed an embargo on Libya after holding their government responsible for the Lockerbie bombing. In 1993 it hardens further. After the embargo, in a few years, the Libyan economy, totally dependent on hydrocarbons, is staggering. 1999-2009
Given the unsustainable economic situation and the likely imminence of an invasion like Iraq, Gaddafi decided to agree on a kind of surrender with U.S. and its allies. In 1999 the UN lifted the sanctions. In 2004 the U.S. does In return, Libya renounces its nuclear power generation project and, since 2005, brings to auction the oil wells hitherto public and establishes a new ARP, much more profitable for multinationals. In the 2005 announced two auctions in 2006 and in 2007 another another. Dozens of oil companies, including Repsol launched on the big cake and Gaddafi is welcomed by friendly governments previously declared him a terrorist.
This story is well known and can be found anywhere, for example in Wikipedia. 2009-2011
Now it explain why all of a sudden everything changes, why the so-called "international community" once again calls to overthrow Gaddafi, of that which until yesterday was his friend. Many people think it's because there has been a civic revolt. Among them are two groups.
"The right wing, as the writers of ABC and El Pais, believe that the purpose of this community International is to help the Libyan people to fulfill their legitimate aspirations for democracy and freedom. This is not going to challenge, because I assume that the readers of this blog will laugh at this explanation.
"The left, like Alba, they think that the objective of the international community is to harness the popular revolt justified to invade and exploit fully their wealth.
We argue here, however, is that Libya has not been a revolt that could be called popular and justified
In fact, deny that the revolt has been popular. But to prove this would require recourse to factual evidence irrefutable. And those tests are that, unfortunately, almost never available at events like these. We have strong indications of it, as the sudden and inexplicable military power enjoyed by the rebels, and someone else will be seen below. So we will have to demonstrate that the revolt is not justified. Which, in fact, constitute the best evidence that is not popular, it is unlikely that people will rebel against their own apparent interests.
The evidence he presented, how could it be otherwise, come from the Internet. Would have been nice to have access to the website of the company NOC, but, symptomatically, is down, at least as I write this post. But in this other page we have everything necessary: \u200b\u200bIt's Energy
-pedia News, a website aimed at people interested in the world of big business related to energy. It is a complete collection of news for investors and entrepreneurs. If you click on the margin, will accede to the News by region, from where we can find stories on Libya for a given year. We are interested in news from 2009 to today. If we give a quick glance to see that often refer to new oil discoveries in various regions, both desert and sea. Also, especially as more we approach our days, news of terminations are operating contracts to various companies. A group of curious news from the middle of 2010 until almost the day before the revolt in which we are told that BP does not merely postpone the maritime survey was announced for 2010. Certainly, this is not a proof that BP knew there would be a revolt in Libya, but of course it is a remarkable coincidence.
But the news that most interest us I think are these three:
January 25, 2009. Gaddafi study the nationalization of foreign oil companies.
(translated excerpts from the news)
Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi said on Wednesday that his country and other exporters Oil is considering nationalizing foreign companies, given the declining price of oil. (...) "We can not adhere to the regulations of OPEC because our livelihood depends on oil." (...) The main newspaper in the state, generally considered Gaddafi's own spokesman, said the People's Congress, the top legislature and executive, should vote for the nationalization of foreign companies at the meeting to be held within a days. (...) "The oil-exporting countries should aim at the nationalization (...) We can not afford to sell at such low prices." Rumors began following nationalization the 2008 report of the NOC whose experts suggested the need for policy changes based solely on ARPs. Some diplomats said that it was a threat to pressure oil companies ahead of the upcoming negotiations.
February 16, 2009. Gaddafi urged Libyans to support its plan to recover the oil revenues.
(translated excerpts from the news)
Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi on Saturday asked the Libyans to support him in his proposal to dismiss the government and deliver the oil revenues directly to the 5 million citizens. His plan to deliver oil revenues directly to Libyans has met with opposition from senior officials, who would be doomed to lose their jobs cause the purge Gaddafi wants to be done to end what he called a state of persistent and widespread corruption. Charges and Prime Minister Al-Baghdadi Ali al-Mahmoudi and the Governor of Central Bank, Farhat Omar Bin Guida, Gaddafi warned in November that the project would end up hurting the economy of the OPEC member country.
"Do not be afraid to take money directly from oil and the responsibility to create the governance structures necessary for the good of our people." Gaddafi said the representatives of the Libyan People's Congress. People's Congress is the backbone the regime of the Libyan Jamahiriya. Is the highest executive and legislative. Represents the people of regional and local level and enacts laws and government policy decisions. (...) Many Libyans say they have not benefited from increased oil production and foreign investment in 2003 from its international isolation ended (...). (...) "The administration has failed and the state economy has failed. Enough is enough. The solution is that we we taken directly from Libyan oil money and decide what to do with that money." Gaddafi said in a speech broadcast on public TV. Gaddafi urged a thorough reform of the bureaucracy government, saying the ministerial system had to be dismantled to free the Libyans of corruption and mismanagement. "These ministries must be returned to the people the ownership of all schools, factories, farms, all public companies and the oil money."
March 4, 2009. Congress delayed the distribution plan Gaddafi oil.
(translated excerpts from the news)
Libyan People's Congress has voted to delay (...) Gaddafi's plan to dissolve the government and give the oil money directly to people. (...) There is an unusual atmosphere of conflict between government officials, who consider such a plan wreak havoc on the economy, causing uncontrolled inflation and capital flight. Gaddafi himself said to the Libyans that the plan, which promises up to $ 23,000 income per year for one million low-income citizens, could cause some chaos at first. "Do not be afraid to experiment with new forms of government," he said before the vote and warned: "This plan is to offer a better future for our children. If you do fail, I wash my hands, it will be your responsibility . (...) (...) In any roll made only 64 of the 468 People's Congress members voted for the plan to appropriate the money immediately. 251 accepted the plan in principle but asked to be delayed until appropriate measures were taken. (...) This will delay the project by at least a few months, giving time off.
I think reading these three articles will surprise more than one. The tyrant Gaddafi, Stalin, Napoleon, and capitalist proburgués we have spoken the leftist media shown here in this newsletter written by and for private consumption rather capitalist, a communist radical willing to load up the bureaucratic apparatus of government and make a direct distribution of national wealth. We see how the opposition to Gaddafi arises precisely between political elites and not the people. People see how Congress manages to postpone a few months Gaddafi's plan to spread the wealth directly to the people, once nationalized oil. And we see that after these months, there are armed groups led by a former minister claiming to represent the people.
Can anyone believe that the Libyan people will oppose this plan, will take up arms to ask the head of one who has dared to propose the nationalization of oil and direct distribution of its benefits to all Libyans? Reading this news
can you still a Marxist maintain that the riots in Libya, or rather, that the coup in Libya, is popular and justified? Posted by Dizdira
Zalakain at 22:11 THURSDAY 10 MARCH 2011
